Predictions come easy this time of year.
It’s November in the Volunteer State and that means winning football is here again.
Since Phillip Fulmer took over the reins of the Volunteer’s program fulltime in 1993, Tennessee has had a record of 59-11 in the month of November and has not had a losing record in the month since 1973 (1-2).
This season’s final two opponents are a combined 1- 49 against the Vols in the last twenty-five years.
In 2010, Vanderbilt and Kentucky have their own recent histories plaguing them. We’ll look at those problems as we take a look at predicting the final two REGULAR SEASON games for the Vols.
Saturday November 20th Nashville Tennessee 7:30 Eastern Time
Tennessee (4-6, 1-5) at Vanderbilt (2-8, 1-6)
Tennessee has found itself of late with true freshman Tyler Bray at quarterback and a patchwork defensive secondary that has shown statistical improvement, all be it against inferior competition compared to the month of October’s schedule.
The Vols have scored 102 points in the last two games while holding their opponents to just 28 in 50-14 and 52-14 wins over Memphis and Ole Miss.
Vanderbilt is averaging 18 points per game on offense (12.29 in SEC Games), and they are allowing 31.6 points per game (35.29 in SEC contests).
Uh oh.
To make things worse on the Commodores, Tyler Bray has more passing touchdowns in the last two weeks (10), than the Vanderbilt offense has all season (9).
Double Uh oh. Want more bad news?
Last week in a 38-20 loss to Kentucky, the Vanderbilt defense gave up 263 yards……….on FOUR PLAYS.
Tennessee’s offense the last two weeks has gained and 509 and 441 yards respectively.
Seen enough? Me too.
Tennessee: As much as they want. (52)
Vanderbilt: 10
Now we move to the final home game of the season.
Saturday November 27th Knoxville Tennessee 12:21 Eastern Time
Kentucky (6-5, 2-5) at Tennessee (5-6, 2-5)* [*Predicted record]
Stop me if you’ve heard this one. Tennessee beats Kentuc……. Oh, you HAVE heard that one?
Well, I guess you have. Tennessee has beaten the MILDcats twenty five straight seasons, 12 straight in Knoxville, 29 times in my 31 years on this planet, and 41 times in the last 45 years.
Seen enough? Me too…..but, I won’t leave you hanging without some statistical nuggets.
Mmmmm Nuggets.
You’ve already seen the gaudy offensive numbers that Tennessee has been putting up as of late and they should continue against Vanderbilt. What you don’t know are Kentucky’s numbers.
The MILDcats, (EVERY Tennessee fan should refer to them as this….if Ole Miss can adopt a black bear as a mascot, Tennessee can adopt a new name for a team that they own.) are averaging 34.7 points per game (28.57 in the SEC) and allowing 28.9 (34.6 against SEC opponents).
What that tells me sports fans, is that Kentucky’s four non-conference wins helped to pad their statistics, MILDcats fan’s expectations and Vol fan’s reservations.
Do not be fooled Tennessee fans; this IS your father’s Kentucky team. Hell, it’s your grandfather’s Kentucky team, and that STILL means a Vols win.
Tennessee: 41
Kentucky: 24
That will give Tennessee a 6-6 record and a trip to a bowl game.
Remember when Mike Hamilton canceled the series with North Carolina for next season because the Vols needed to “lighten the load”?
Too bad Mike.
Vols vs. North Carolina in the Music City Bowl in Nashville December 30th 5:30pm Eastern.
Tennessee: 37
Whoever Might Still Be Eligible (UNC): 24
Go Vols!
Scott Felts
Sports Blog Director
Tradingo.com/Sports